Disclaimer
Last updated: August 13, 2026
Not Financial Advice
The information provided by Regime Vault (the "Service") is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing on this Service constitutes financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, or any other form of professional advice. You should consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Past Performance
All performance figures displayed on the Service, including total return, maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, and Calmar ratio, are derived from historical backtested simulations. These backtests use real historical Bitcoin price data and on-chain indicator data from January 2020 through June 2026.
Past backtested performance does not guarantee future results.
Backtested results have inherent limitations. Unlike actual trading, backtests do not account for the impact of the strategy's own trades on market prices, liquidity constraints at scale, or unforeseen market events. Actual results may differ materially from backtested performance.
Backtest Methodology
The backtested performance figures include the following assumptions:
- 0.1% trading fee per trade (slippage inclusive)
- Weekly rebalancing frequency
- 24-hour lag on on-chain data (no lookahead bias)
- Aave V3 yield on idle USDC (historical average ~3.5% APY)
- No compounding of gas fees or protocol fees beyond the trade fee
These assumptions are designed to be conservative and realistic, but actual trading conditions may differ.
Smart Contract Risk
The Service interacts with smart contracts on the Base L2 blockchain. Smart contracts may contain bugs or vulnerabilities that could result in partial or total loss of deposited funds. The vault uses Lagoon Finance's audited ERC-7540 infrastructure, but no audit can guarantee the absence of all vulnerabilities. You should only deposit funds you can afford to lose entirely.
Model Risk
The vault's positioning is informed by a proprietary composite of on-chain Bitcoin indicators derived from public blockchain data, selected because they were statistically significant across past market cycles in backtesting. These indicators measure historical relationships that may not persist in future conditions. Structural changes in the Bitcoin market (e.g., new derivative instruments, regulatory shifts, changes in miner behavior) could reduce or eliminate their predictive power. No indicator, model, or combination of the two can predict future prices, and the vault may underperform a simple buy-and-hold position or an all-cash position over any period. Which indicators are used, how they are combined, weighted, and translated into vault exposure is proprietary and is not described here.
Third-Party Protocol Risk
The Service depends on third-party protocols including Aave V3 (lending), CowSwap (trade execution), Base L2 (blockchain infrastructure), and Lagoon Finance (vault standard). Each of these protocols carries its own risk profile. An exploit, downtime, or adverse governance decision in any of these protocols could affect the vault's operations or the safety of deposited funds.
No Warranty
The Service is provided "as is" and "as available" without warranty of any kind, express or implied, including but not limited to warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or non-infringement.
Jurisdiction
The Service is not targeted at residents of any specific jurisdiction. Users are responsible for complying with applicable local laws and regulations regarding cryptocurrency, DeFi, and investment activities. The Service is not available in jurisdictions where its use would be prohibited.